I recently read a quote by Barton Biggs (via The Big
Picture) recommending that one “Keep an investment diary and re-read it from
time to time but particularly at moments when there is tremendous exuberance
and also panic. We are in a very
emotional business, and any wisdom we can extract from our own experience is
very valuable.”
As a small step in that direction, I am going to outline my
individual equity positions (as opposed to index fund, mutual fund,
commodities, bond, or cash holdings) in an effort to understand why I am in a
position and when I want to get out.
GM – General Motors Company – I got into GM in February 2011
as I felt that I missed the boat on the emergence from bankruptcy and was
simply looking to buy the dip. It opened
at $35/share and hit nearly $39/share before I jumped in at $33/share. The stock instantly went against me and has
seen resistance around $20/share. I
still believe in the company and their products, but have no idea why I am
still in this trade.
CLCT – Collectors Universe – I got into CLCT in May 2011 as
I was intrigued by the coin grading business and realized that CLCT pays a
healthy dividend. I got in at $14/share
and it is still running $14/share.
During the past year it has paid a dividend of $0.325/share quarterly
and I have maintained my position and collected a 9.2% return in
dividends. I will stay in this trade and
would like to increase my position.
PSS - Collective Brands – I got into PSS in August 2011
because my family shops at Payless and I am a big fan of Saucony running
shoes. I got in at $13/share and the
trade immediately went in my favor. I am
still in this trade as it is a winner with solid long term prospects.
GRPN – Groupon Inc. – I got into GRPN with the IPO pop in
November 2011 at $28/share and added shares in April 2012 at $15/share as the
position immediately went against me. My
family uses GRPN products and the business model seems simple enough. I still see long term value here, but am
having a hard time holding on at $7/share.
I want to wait out two earnings cycles and am considering increasing my
position.
MRK – Merck & Co. Inc. – I got into MRK in January of
2012 as I am a believer in healthcare and transportation and have always been a
fan of MRK. I got in at $39/share and
the stock has just kind of held steady.
It has paid a quarterly dividend of $0.42/share and that has netted me a
2.2% return in addition to some recent price appreciation based on some new
product development. I will stay in this
trade, but am hesitant to increase my position.
EL – Lauder Estee Cos. Inc. – I got into EL in May 2012
after reading an article about the marketing of Clinique brand products. I got in at $56/share and the stock has moved
against me. It is currently running $53/share. I still believe in the product line and am
cautiously optimistic about the beauty brand.
I feel that these simple pleasures are important to people in times of
economic uncertainty. I will stay in
this trade, but am hesitant to increase my position.
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